Live prediction market odds for the next US president
The 2028 US presidential race is already being priced by prediction markets, with traders putting real money behind their picks years before election day. Unlike polls — which measure stated preference — prediction markets capture revealed preference weighted by conviction. Below are the most actively traded 2028 election markets across platforms.
Prediction market odds shift constantly as the political landscape evolves. Check the live markets below for the latest probabilities on each candidate. Early frontrunners often change significantly as the race develops.
Prediction markets have a strong track record for US elections, often outperforming polls — especially as election day approaches. In 2024, Polymarket correctly predicted the presidential outcome with higher confidence than most polling averages.
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange where US residents can legally trade election contracts. Polymarket is a crypto-native platform that trades in USDC. Limitless Exchange operates on the Base blockchain with zero trading fees.
