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What Will US Inflation Be in 2026?

CPI prediction market odds and inflation forecasts

Monthly CPI releases are among the most actively traded economic events on prediction markets. Kalshi offers bracket-style contracts (e.g., "Will CPI be between 2.9% and 3.1%?") that let traders express precise views on inflation. The bracket with the highest volume represents the market's consensus forecast — a real-money alternative to economist surveys.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the predicted inflation rate for 2026?

Prediction markets offer contracts on specific CPI brackets for each monthly release. The bracket with the highest trading volume or price represents the market consensus. Check the live markets below for current inflation forecasts.

How do inflation prediction markets work?

Kalshi offers bracket contracts like "Will headline CPI be between 2.5% and 3.0%?" Traders buy shares in the bracket they believe is most likely. After the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the official CPI data, the correct bracket pays out $1 per share.

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Active Markets
30
Total Volume
$9.32M
24h Volume
$850.4K
Platforms
1
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

Jul 1, 28
Yes22%
No78%
Vol $4.34M24h $622.1K
KL
CPI year-over-year in May 2026?

CPI year-over-year in May 2026?

Jun 10
Exactly 3.2%20%
Exactly 3.0%17%
Exactly 3.3%13%
Vol $1.77M24h $970
KL
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?

Jul 14
Exactly 2.9%14%
Exactly 3.4%10%
Exactly 2.6%10%
Vol $1.03M24h $52
KL
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?

CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?

Jul 14
Exactly 0.3%25%
Exactly 0.6%16%
Exactly 0.2%14%
Vol $595.0K24h $8
KL
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?

CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?

Jun 10
Exactly 0.3%25%
Exactly 0.2%25%
Exactly -0.1%10%
Vol $424.0K24h $0
KL
What will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?

What will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?

2d
Surcharge85%
Capital Requirement72%
Liquidity66%
Vol $347.1K24h $203.9K
KL
CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?

May 12
Exactly 2.8%67%
Exactly 3.5%14%
Exactly 3.3%13%
Vol $303.3K24h $1.4K
KL
CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?

CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?

May 12
Exactly -0.2%19%
Exactly 0.3%16%
Exactly 0.2%12%
Vol $204.1K24h $1.6K
KL
CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

Aug 12
Exactly 2.9%15%
Exactly 2.1%8%
Exactly 3.4%8%
Vol $110.8K24h $0
KL
CPI year-over-year in Mar 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Mar 2026?

Apr 10
Exactly 3.3%36%
Exactly 3.4%31%
Exactly 3.5%15%
Vol $100.2K24h $5.7K
KL
CPI month-over-month in Mar 2026?

CPI month-over-month in Mar 2026?

Apr 10
Exactly 0.8%38%
Exactly 0.9%25%
Exactly 0.7%11%
Vol $28.7K24h $2.4K
KL
How high will CPI get this year?

How high will CPI get this year?

Jan 31, 27
above 3.0%91%
above 3.2%80%
above 3.1%78%
Vol $22.5K24h $1.6K
KL
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 1.9% for the year ending in March 2026?

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 1.9% for the year ending in March 2026?

Apr 10
Above 1.9%94%
Above 2.1%94%
Above 2.0%94%
Vol $15.3K24h $2.6K
KL
CPI core month-over-month in Mar 2026?

CPI core month-over-month in Mar 2026?

Apr 10
Exactly 0.2%39%
Exactly 0.3%35%
Exactly 0.1%15%
Vol $8.4K24h $728
KL
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in April 2026?

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in April 2026?

May 12
Above 3.4%91%
Above 3.2%86%
Above 3.0%63%
Vol $8.2K24h $2.6K
KL
PPI YoY exceed CPI YoY for 3+ consecutive months in 2026?

PPI YoY exceed CPI YoY for 3+ consecutive months in 2026?

Feb 1, 27
Yes36%
No64%
Vol $3.4K24h $3.4K
KL
CPI core month-over-month in Apr 2026?

CPI core month-over-month in Apr 2026?

May 12
Exactly 0.4%25%
Exactly 0.3%23%
Exactly 0.5%15%
Vol $3.4K24h $0
KL
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in May 2026?

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in May 2026?

Jun 10
Above 3.1%83%
Above 2.8%76%
Above 3.0%60%
Vol $2.7K24h $545
KL
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?

Oct 14
Exactly 3.5%17%
Exactly 3.4%17%
Exactly 3.3%7%
Vol $84024h $0
KL
CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?

Sep 11
Exactly 3.4%20%
Exactly 3.5%19%
Exactly 3.2%7%
Vol $74724h $0
KL
CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026?

Dec 10
Exactly 3.4%10%
Exactly 3.5%9%
Exactly 3.1%3%
Vol $61924h $0
KL
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?

Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?

Jan 1, 28
ROC recycle removal37%
Index change23%
Cancellation17%
Vol $60124h $601
KL
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in June 2026?

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in June 2026?

Jul 14
Above 2.5%86%
Above 2.6%84%
Above 2.7%80%
Vol $56524h $77
KL
CPI month-over-month in May 2026?

CPI month-over-month in May 2026?

Jun 10
Exactly 0.5%13%
Exactly 0.0%12%
Exactly 0.4%6%
Vol $43224h $0
KL
CPI core month-over-month in Jun 2026?

CPI core month-over-month in Jun 2026?

Jul 14
Exactly 0.2%31%
Exactly 0.3%20%
Exactly 0.1%17%
Vol $40024h $0
KL
CPI month-over-month in Nov 2026?

CPI month-over-month in Nov 2026?

Dec 10
Exactly 0.4%17%
Exactly 0.2%17%
Exactly 0.3%15%
Vol $33224h $0
KL
CPI month-over-month in Oct 2026?

CPI month-over-month in Oct 2026?

Nov 10
Exactly 0.4%17%
Exactly 0.2%17%
Exactly 0.3%14%
Vol $25624h $0
KL
CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?

CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?

Aug 12
Exactly 0.2%19%
Exactly 0.3%15%
Exactly 0.5%12%
Vol $20624h $0
KL
CPI core month-over-month in Jul 2026?

CPI core month-over-month in Jul 2026?

Aug 12
Exactly 0.2%31%
Exactly 0.1%21%
Exactly 0.3%20%
Vol $10424h $0
KL
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in May 2026?

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in May 2026?

Jun 10
Above 2.1%90%
Above 2.2%87%
Above 2.3%82%
Vol $024h $0
KL