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Home/Questions/Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup?

Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup?

Prediction market odds for the FIFA World Cup

The 2026 FIFA World Cup — hosted by the US, Mexico, and Canada — will be the first with 48 teams. Prediction markets are already pricing winner odds months before kickoff. Unlike sportsbook odds which include a built-in margin, prediction market prices directly reflect the crowd's probability estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win the 2026 World Cup?

Prediction market odds change as tournaments approach and team form becomes clearer. Check the live markets below for the latest odds on each team. Major favorites typically include Brazil, Argentina, France, and the host nations.

How are World Cup prediction markets different from sportsbooks?

Prediction markets function as peer-to-peer exchanges where prices are set by supply and demand, with no bookmaker margin. This often results in more efficient odds. You can also sell your position at any time before the final.

When does the 2026 World Cup start?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled for June 11 to July 19, 2026, across venues in the United States, Mexico, and Canada.

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Active Markets
76
Total Volume
$108.23M
24h Volume
$1.89M
Platforms
3
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Jul 20
Spain15%
England13%
Argentina11%
Vol $100.02M24h $1.80M
PM
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?

Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?

Jul 18, 28
Spain18%
England13%
France11%
Vol $5.70M24h $38.6K
KL
Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Europe69%
South America23%
Africa4%
Vol $708.2K24h $812
PM
Poland Qualify 2026 FIFA World Cup

Poland Qualify 2026 FIFA World Cup

Apr 12
Yes33%
No67%
Vol $462.7K24h $715
PM
Italy 2026 FIFA World Cup

Italy 2026 FIFA World Cup

Apr 12
Yes66%
No35%
Vol $225.9K24h $1.5K
PM
Ukraine 2026 FIFA World Cup

Ukraine 2026 FIFA World Cup

Apr 12
Yes27%
No73%
Vol $142.0K24h $524
PM
Iran Removed from 2026 FIFA World Cup

Iran Removed from 2026 FIFA World Cup

Mar 31
Yes18%
No82%
Vol $139.1K24h $1.3K
PM
Sweden Qualifies 2026 FIFA World Cup

Sweden Qualifies 2026 FIFA World Cup

Apr 12
Yes32%
No68%
Vol $110.2K24h $1.8K
PM
World Cup Game Relocated Away from Mexico

World Cup Game Relocated Away from Mexico

Jun 10
Yes6%
No95%
Vol $101.6K24h $155
PM
Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?

Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?

Aug 7
Vinicius Junior25%
Kylian Mbappe22%
Harry Kane18%
Vol $67.9K24h $1.6K
KL
FIFA World Cup Group C Winner

FIFA World Cup Group C Winner

Jun 27
Brazil78%
Morocco17%
Scotland4%
Vol $49.4K24h $2.1K
PM
FIFA World Cup Group I Winner

FIFA World Cup Group I Winner

Jun 27
France65%
Norway27%
Senegal8%
Vol $45.9K24h $6.6K
PM
Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?

Jul 20
Yes78%
No22%
Vol $39.1K24h $111
KL
Iran to compete in FIFA World Cup in 2026

Iran to compete in FIFA World Cup in 2026

Jul 8
Yes35%
No65%
Vol $30.2K24h $366
KL
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Jul 19
Yes86%
No14%
Vol $26.2K24h $2.0K
PM
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026?

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026?

Jun 11
Yes14%
No86%
Vol $22.8K24h $966
KL
FIFA World Cup Group J Winner

FIFA World Cup Group J Winner

Jun 27
Argentina76%
Austria14%
Algeria7%
Vol $17.2K24h $151
PM
Will FIFA pull the World Cup out of the USA?

Will FIFA pull the World Cup out of the USA?

Jun 11
Yes4%
No96%
Vol $16.8K24h $517
KL
Will Czechia finish first in World Cup Group A?

Will Czechia finish first in World Cup Group A?

Jul 11
Mexico48%
Korea Republic21%
Denmark14%
Vol $16.6K24h $120
KL
Who will sing the next World Cup song?

Who will sing the next World Cup song?

Jan 1, 27
Lady Gaga18%
Alicia Keys16%
Rihanna13%
Vol $16.2K24h $4.0K
KL
FIFA World Cup Group F Winner

FIFA World Cup Group F Winner

Jun 27
Netherlands59%
Japan32%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR12%
Vol $14.7K24h $734
PM
Will Alisson Becker be in the Brazil World Cup final squad?

Will Alisson Becker be in the Brazil World Cup final squad?

Jun 19
Endrick76%
Rayan75%
Fabinho54%
Vol $13.4K24h $1.3K
KL
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Jul 19
Yes44%
No56%
Vol $12.6K24h $9.7K
PM
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes54%
No46%
Vol $12.5K24h $722
PM
Will Australia finish first in World Cup Group D?

Will Australia finish first in World Cup Group D?

Jul 11
USA47%
Turkiye26%
Paraguay19%
Vol $12.2K24h $150
KL
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Jun 27
Portugal61%
Colombia33%
Vol $11.1K24h $153
PM
FIFA World Cup Group E Winner

FIFA World Cup Group E Winner

Jun 27
Germany72%
Ecuador19%
Ivory Coast7%
Vol $10.8K24h $1.3K
PM
Will Brazil finish first in World Cup Group C?

Will Brazil finish first in World Cup Group C?

Jul 11
Brazil74%
Morocco17%
Scotland8%
Vol $10.3K24h $0
KL
FIFA World Cup Group H Winner

FIFA World Cup Group H Winner

Jun 27
Spain79%
Uruguay17%
Saudi Arabia4%
Vol $10.2K24h $205
PM
FIFA World Cup Group L Winner

FIFA World Cup Group L Winner

Jun 27
England75%
Ghana7%
Panama1%
Vol $9.9K24h $2.6K
PM
Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?

Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?

Aug 3
Argentina69%
Portugal61%
USA26%
Vol $9.5K24h $14
KL
Will Bolivia finish first in World Cup Group I?

Will Bolivia finish first in World Cup Group I?

Jul 11
France72%
Norway21%
Senegal10%
Vol $9.4K24h $0
KL
Will Belgium finish first in World Cup Group G?

Will Belgium finish first in World Cup Group G?

Jul 11
Belgium72%
Egypt18%
New Zealand5%
Vol $9.2K24h $0
KL
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in the World Cup?

Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in the World Cup?

Jun 11
Yes86%
No14%
Vol $8.7K24h $0
KL
Will Congo DR finish first in World Cup Group K?

Will Congo DR finish first in World Cup Group K?

Jul 11
Portugal68%
Colombia33%
Jamaica9%
Vol $8.7K24h $29
KL
Will Albania finish first in World Cup Group F?

Will Albania finish first in World Cup Group F?

Jul 11
Netherlands56%
Japan23%
Tunisia5%
Vol $8.5K24h $17
KL
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Jul 31
Yes89%
No11%
Vol $8.1K24h $220
KL
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Jun 10
Yes22%
No78%
Vol $7.3K24h $656
PM
FIFA World Cup Group A Winner

FIFA World Cup Group A Winner

Jun 27
Mexico47%
South Korea19%
Vol $7.1K24h $47
PM
Will a 2026 FIFA World Cup game be played in Mexico?

Will a 2026 FIFA World Cup game be played in Mexico?

Jul 20
Yes90%
No10%
Vol $7.1K24h $0
KL
Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?

Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?

Aug 3
Spain46%
England43%
Argentina35%
Vol $5.8K24h $471
KL
Will Ivory Coast finish first in World Cup Group E?

Will Ivory Coast finish first in World Cup Group E?

Jul 11
Germany66%
Ecuador22%
Ivory Coast11%
Vol $5.8K24h $0
KL
Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes12%
No89%
Vol $4.8K24h $67
PM
Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes32%
No68%
Vol $4.4K24h $735
PM
Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Aug 3
Argentina25%
Mexico22%
Portugal18%
Vol $3.8K24h $0
KL
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes45%
No55%
Vol $3.6K24h $75
PM
Will Czechia qualify from World Cup Group A?

Will Czechia qualify from World Cup Group A?

Jul 11
Mexico80%
Korea Republic65%
South Africa43%
Vol $3.5K24h $0
KL
FIFA World Cup Group D Winner

FIFA World Cup Group D Winner

Jun 27
USA43%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR27%
Vol $3.3K24h $26
PM
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on revoking, terminating, or rescinding the suspension of entry for nationals of Haiti, Iran, Côte d'Ivoire, or Senegal before the World Cup?

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on revoking, terminating, or rescinding the suspension of entry for nationals of Haiti, Iran, Côte d'Ivoire, or Senegal before the World Cup?

Jun 11
Yes19%
No81%
Vol $3.2K24h $0
KL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish first in World Cup Group B?

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish first in World Cup Group B?

Jul 11
Switzerland37%
Italy34%
Canada15%
Vol $2.9K24h $70
KL
Will Croatia finish first in World Cup Group L?

Will Croatia finish first in World Cup Group L?

Jul 11
England69%
Croatia18%
Panama2%
Vol $2.8K24h $0
KL
Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes20%
No80%
Vol $2.7K24h $74
PM
Will Brazil qualify from World Cup Group C?

Will Brazil qualify from World Cup Group C?

Jul 11
Brazil94%
Scotland71%
Vol $2.5K24h $0
KL
Will Argentina finish first in World Cup Group J?

Will Argentina finish first in World Cup Group J?

Jul 11
Yes76%
No24%
Vol $2.1K24h $0
KL
FIFA World Cup Group B Winner

FIFA World Cup Group B Winner

Jun 27
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL47%
Qatar2%
Vol $1.9K24h $18
PM
FIFA World Cup Group G Winner

FIFA World Cup Group G Winner

Jun 27
Belgium71%
Egypt17%
New Zealand8%
Vol $1.8K24h $578
PM
Will Cape Verde qualify from World Cup Group H?

Will Cape Verde qualify from World Cup Group H?

Jul 11
Yes50%
No50%
Vol $1.8K24h $0
KL
Will DR Congo compete in the FIFA World Cup Intercontinental Playoffs before April 7th?

Will DR Congo compete in the FIFA World Cup Intercontinental Playoffs before April 7th?

Apr 14
Yes90%
No10%
Vol $1.6K24h $0
KL
Will Albania qualify from World Cup Group F?

Will Albania qualify from World Cup Group F?

Jul 11
Japan63%
Ukraine12%
Vol $1.5K24h $0
KL
Will Cape Verde finish first in World Cup Group H?

Will Cape Verde finish first in World Cup Group H?

Jul 11
Spain84%
Uruguay15%
Vol $1.4K24h $0
KL
Will Belgium qualify from World Cup Group G?

Will Belgium qualify from World Cup Group G?

Jul 11
Yes21%
No79%
Vol $1.2K24h $6
KL
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes15%
No85%
Vol $1.1K24h $69
PM
Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?

Will Albania qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?

Aug 2
Argentina81%
Germany78%
Norway71%
Vol $1.1K24h $20
KL
Will Bolivia qualify from World Cup Group I?

Will Bolivia qualify from World Cup Group I?

Jul 11
Yes68%
No32%
Vol $1.0K24h $0
KL
Will a 2026 FIFA World Cup game be played in Massachusetts?

Will a 2026 FIFA World Cup game be played in Massachusetts?

Jul 20
Yes90%
No10%
Vol $97624h $0
KL
Will Argentina qualify from World Cup Group J?

Will Argentina qualify from World Cup Group J?

Jul 11
Yes92%
No8%
Vol $80724h $0
KL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify from World Cup Group B?

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify from World Cup Group B?

Jul 11
Yes30%
No70%
Vol $80524h $0
KL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes12%
No88%
Vol $70224h $26
PM
Will Ivory Coast qualify from World Cup Group E?

Will Ivory Coast qualify from World Cup Group E?

Jul 11
Yes84%
No16%
Vol $61124h $0
KL
Will Australia qualify from World Cup Group D?

Will Australia qualify from World Cup Group D?

Jul 11
Yes58%
No42%
Vol $56524h $0
KL
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Ghana vs Seychelles - Completed match?

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Ghana vs Seychelles - Completed match?

Mar 31
Yes55%
No45%
Vol $50724h $507
PM
Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes32%
No68%
Vol $49324h $50
PM
Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes17%
No83%
Vol $41324h $17
PM
Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 12
Yes26%
No74%
Vol $31524h $2
PM
Will Lionel Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo have more goal contributions in the FIFA World Cup?

Will Lionel Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo have more goal contributions in the FIFA World Cup?

Aug 2
Lionel Messi46%
Cristiano Ronaldo34%
Vol $9224h $0
KL
Will a 2026 FIFA World Cup game in Mexico be cancelled/relocated?

Will a 2026 FIFA World Cup game in Mexico be cancelled/relocated?

Jul 20
Yes6%
No95%
Vol $5724h $0
LM