Polymarket$3.01BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$356.03MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$24.05MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.Data-driven deep dives into prediction markets.
$2M/day in weather bets. Quant funds exploiting forecast latency. Retail traders betting on thermometers. 190 markets across 37 cities.
Read analysisOil price probabilities, regime change odds, ceasefire timelines, and escalation risk — all from real-money markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Read analysisHour-by-hour data from $50M+ in oil prediction markets shows exactly how traders priced Hormuz disruption, the Russia sanctions waiver, and selective ship passage.
Read analysisPolymarket created 40 markets in a single hour and captured 84% of volume. Kalshi took days to respond. A data-driven look at the platform race.
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