How accurate are political prediction markets?

Political prediction markets have a strong track record of forecasting election outcomes. They aggregate information from thousands of traders and frequently outperform polls, especially as election day approaches. Platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless saw record volumes during the 2024 US elections.

What political events can I bet on?

You can trade on presidential elections, congressional races, gubernatorial elections, Supreme Court decisions, policy outcomes like tariffs and government shutdowns, and international geopolitics. Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless all list active political markets.

What is the difference between Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless for political markets?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange that accepts bank deposits, making it accessible for US residents. Polymarket is a crypto-native platform that trades in USDC and typically has higher liquidity on political markets. Limitless Exchange operates on the Base blockchain with zero trading fees. PredictMarketCap compares odds across all three platforms so you can spot price differences.

Political Prediction Market Odds 2026 - Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

121,838

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,565,533,998

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$463,658,245

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,630,155,679

Polymarket$2.26BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.04MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.32MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.