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If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump buy Greenland? are: Before January 20, 2029: 26%, Before 2027: 12%, Before Jul 1, 2026: 4%, Before May 1, 2026: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump buy Greenland? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.