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Kalshi

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated US prediction exchange

Visit Kalshi

Kalshi is the first CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the United States. Traders use US dollars and can deposit via bank transfer. Kalshi lists tens of thousands of markets across economics, politics, sports, and more.

Active Markets
63,524
Total Volume
$1.21B
24h Volume
$34.01M
Open Interest
$676.10M

Top Kalshi Markets

Other Platforms

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Polymarket
Crypto-native prediction market on Polygon
Limitless
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On-chain prediction market on Base
LeBron James Next NBA Team

LeBron James Next NBA Team

Oct 23
Miami Heat45%
Cleveland Cavaliers34%
Golden State Warriors13%
Vol $194.70M24h $9.94M
sportspolymarketkalshi2pp
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Nov 7, 2028
Gavin Newsom20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Jon Ossoff15%
Vol $1.40B24h $1.15M
politicspolymarketkalshi3pp
2028 US Presidential Election

2028 US Presidential Election

Nov 7, 2028
J.D. Vance18%
Marco Rubio16%
Gavin Newsom11%
Vol $717.64M24h $1.29M
politicspolymarketkalshi4pp
Will the Fed make a decision in July 2026?

Will the Fed make a decision in July 2026?

Jul 29
Fed maintains rate93%
25 bps increase7%
Vol $98.91M24h $2.86M
economicspolymarketkalshi

Zamora vs Poling Jul 19

1d
Karl Poling61%
Noah Zamora39%
Vol $1.81M24h $1.80M
sports
F1 Drivers' Championship

F1 Drivers' Championship

Dec 6
Andrea Kimi Antonelli75%
Lewis Hamilton12%
George Russell9%
Vol $206.92M24h $554.4K
sportspolymarketkalshi4pp
2027 NFL Champion

2027 NFL Champion

Feb 14, 2027
Los Angeles Rams16%
Kansas City Chiefs8%
Seattle Seahawks7%
Vol $86.29M24h $918.6K
sportspolymarketkalshi
Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026

Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026

Dec 31
0 (0 bps)85%
Exactly 19 cuts29%
Exactly 1 cut16%
Vol $50.60M24h $1.06M
economicspolymarketkalshi78pp
2026 MLB World Series Champion

2026 MLB World Series Champion

Oct 31
Los Angeles Dodgers30%
New York Yankees13%
Milwaukee Brewers9%
Vol $70.72M24h $504.8K
sportspolymarketkalshi
Will Trump Leave Office Early?

Will Trump Leave Office Early?

Dec 31
Before January 20, 202928%
Before 202817%
Before 20276%
Vol $59.09M24h $358.2K
politicspolymarketkalshi
2027 NBA Champion

2027 NBA Champion

Jul 1, 2027
Oklahoma City Thunder23%
San Antonio Spurs19%
Miami Heat8%
Vol $18.72M24h $589.3K
sportspolymarketkalshi5pp
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Nov 3
Xavier Becerra93%
Steve Hilton6%
Vol $89.24M24h $162.1K
otherpolymarketkalshi

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal

Jan 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 202770%
Before Apr 1, 202761%
Before Jan 1, 202743%
Vol $33.89M24h $180.3K
politicspolymarketkalshi
2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election

2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Jun 2, 2027
Karen Bass63%
Nithya Raman37%
Vol $98.94M24h $93.7K
politicspolymarketkalshi
US government confirmation of alien existence

US government confirmation of alien existence

Dec 31
Before Jan 20, 202924%
Before 202817%
Yes8%
Vol $68.94M24h $88.3K
politicspolymarketkalshi
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Dec 31
Before January 20276%
by December 31, 20263%
Vol $60.38M24h $78.7K
otherpolymarketkalshi
SAVE Act Becomes Law 2027

SAVE Act Becomes Law 2027

Jan 4, 2027
Before Jan 4, 20278%
No92%
Vol $8.84M24h $127.0K
other
Venezuela Head of State on Dec 31

Venezuela Head of State on Dec 31

Dec 31
Nicolás Maduro75%
Delcy Rodríguez13%
Edmundo González6%
Vol $98.95M24h $22.4K
politicspolymarketkalshi11pp
Bitcoin Reaching $200,000 by Dec 31

Bitcoin Reaching $200,000 by Dec 31

Dec 31
Yes4%
↑ 200,0002%
Vol $8.16M24h $99.9K
cryptopolymarketkalshi

Bitcoin Price Below 20,000 End 2026

Jan 1, 2027
60,000 to 64,999.9910%
70,000 to 74,999.999%
65,000 to 69,999.998%
Vol $23.17M24h $41.2K
crypto

xAI Top-Ranked LLM End 2026

Dec 31
Claude68%
ChatGPT13%
Gemini12%
Vol $6.10M24h $37.5K
tech

WTI Oil Exceeds 95 Dollars

Jan 1, 2027
$115.01 or above37%
$120.01 or above31%
$125.01 or above25%
Vol $6.16M24h $59.3K
other
GameStop Acquires eBay 2026

GameStop Acquires eBay 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 202718%
No82%
Vol $2.32M24h $81.4K
other
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Nov 3
Republican Party56%
Democratic Party44%
Vol $9.33M24h $43.0K
politicspolymarketkalshi

nuclear deal

Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 20, 202956%
Before 202842%
Before 202724%
Vol $18.31M24h $25.2K
otherkalshipolymarket
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary 2026

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary 2026

Aug 4
Abdul El-Sayed68%
Haley Stevens33%
Vol $3.48M24h $67.1K
politicspolymarketkalshi2pp

Mitch McConnell Resigns Before Midterms 2026

Nov 3
Before election day 202610%
No91%
Vol $861.4K24h $41.4K
other

Trump Administration Official Departures

Jan 7, 2027
Todd Blanche71%
Amy Gleason48%
Kash Patel42%
Vol $3.82M24h $32.5K
other
Maine Senate Republican Winner 2026

Maine Senate Republican Winner 2026

Jan 4, 2027
Democratic party66%
Republican party35%
Vol $3.40M24h $30.1K
politics
Texas Senate Election 2026

Texas Senate Election 2026

Jan 4, 2027
Ken Paxton (R)57%
James Talarico (D)44%
Vol $6.69M24h $20.5K
politicspolymarketkalshi

LeBron James Announces Retirement 2026

Oct 31
Before the start of the 2026-27 regular season2%
No98%
Vol $2.52M24h $25.3K
other

Bitcoin Crosses $100k by Jan 2027

Jan 1, 2027
Before January 202715%
Before October 20265%
Vol $1.64M24h $41.6K
crypto

Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its next meeting?

Jan 1, 2028
Before 202873%
Before July 202763%
Vol $3.48M24h $20.2K
economicspolymarketkalshi15pp
Warner Bros. Acquisition: Who Will Close the Deal by July 2027?

Warner Bros. Acquisition: Who Will Close the Deal by July 2027?

Jun 30, 2027
Paramount84%
None before July 202717%
None by June 30, 202716%
Vol $5.13M24h $14.0K
economicspolymarketkalshi3pp

Americans Receive Tariff Stimulus Checks

Jan 1, 2027
Before 20277%
Before August1%
Vol $2.02M24h $17.7K
economics

Trump Attorney General 2029

Jan 20, 2029
Todd Blanche82%
Lee Zeldin8%
Jeanine Pirro2%
Vol $4.68M24h $10.1K
politics

Federal Reserve Rate Cut 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Cuts20%
No81%
Vol $790.9K24h $7.5K
economics

Bitcoin Above 250,000 By Jan 2027

Jan 1, 2027
Above $250,0003%
No97%
Vol $800.4K24h $2.5K
crypto

S&P 500 Positive Year End 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Positive Growth77%
No23%
Vol $837.6K24h $2.1K
economics
US Recognizes Reza Pahlavi Iran 2026

US Recognizes Reza Pahlavi Iran 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Before 20276%
No95%
Vol $971.6K24h $167
other

Trump Impeached Before 2028

Nov 3
Before Jan 1, 202856%
Before Mar 1, 202724%
Before Jan 1, 20274%
Vol $2.37M24h $9.6K
politics
Acquisition of Greenland by the United States

Acquisition of Greenland by the United States

Dec 31
No95%
Before January 21, 202921%
Yes6%
Vol $39.25M24h $8.9K
politicspolymarketkalshilimitless

Citrini Recession Scenario Occurs by 2028

Jul 1, 2028
Yes21%
No79%
Vol $25.86M24h $6.3K
economics

Bitcoin Above 110k In 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Above $99,999.9915%
Above $109,999.9911%
Above $119,999.997%
Vol $4.06M24h $7.8K
crypto

Nasdaq 100 Above 33,000 Dec 2026

Dec 31
33,000.01 or above20%
18,999.99 or below10%
31,000 to 31,499.996%
Vol $3.20M24h $3.7K
economics

Tim Walz Leaves Minnesota Governor

Jan 8, 2027
Before 20279%
Before Sep 1, 20263%
Vol $1.08M24h $4.2K
politics
Ethereum Above 5000 End of 2026

Ethereum Above 5000 End of 2026

Jan 1, 2027
999.99 or below13%
1,750 to 1,999.9912%
1,250 to 1,499.9911%
Vol $11.59M24h $2.0K
crypto

Cincinnati Head Coach Departure Before

Sep 1
Shane Steichen10%
Mike Vrabel4%
Ben Johnson4%
Vol $1.12M24h $2.7K
sports

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Jan 20, 2029
Before January 20, 202919%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%
Vol $7.39M24h $1.5K
politicspolymarketkalshi
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

Feb 28, 2027
Up90%
No10%
Vol $31.45M24h $1.1K
otherpolymarketkalshi

WHO Hantavirus Public Health Emergency 2026

Jan 1, 2027
In Dec 31, 20262%
No98%
Vol $1.59M24h $1.1K
other
Stranger Things New Episode 2026

Stranger Things New Episode 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Yes6%
No94%
Vol $2.42M24h $442
other
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Nov 7, 2028
J.D. Vance41%
Marco Rubio29%
Ron DeSantis4%
Vol $729.43M24h $441.6K
politicspolymarketkalshi3pp
2026 Brazilian Presidential Election

2026 Brazilian Presidential Election

Oct 4
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62%
Flávio Bolsonaro26%
Renan Santos8%
Vol $116.41M24h $136.0K
politicspolymarketkalshi5pp
2026 United States Congressional Elections

2026 United States Congressional Elections

Nov 30
Yes77%
No18%
Vol $18.34M24h $79.3K
politicspolymarketkalshi9pp

SAVE America Act Becomes Law

Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 202715%
Before Dec 1, 202612%
Before Nov 1, 20269%
Vol $1.59M24h $220.7K
politics
2026 United States Midterm Elections

2026 United States Midterm Elections

Nov 3
Democrats Sweep44%
D-House, D-Senate43%
D-House, R-Senate38%
Vol $17.03M24h $44.3K
politicspolymarketkalshi39pp

Bitcoin Below $40,000 in 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Below $55,000.0055%
Below $50,000.0049%
Below $40,000.0027%
Vol $2.52M24h $23.7K
crypto
US Recession 2025 or 2026

US Recession 2025 or 2026

Jan 31, 2027
Starts12%
No88%
Vol $2.91M24h $7.4K
economics

California Governor Republican Winner 2026

Jan 7, 2027
Democratic party94%
Republican party6%
Vol $1.14M24h $4.1K
politics