Polymarket$2.32BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$350.67MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$18.48MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $40000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Below $76,000.00on Jan 1, 2027
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Bitcoin be below $60000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET? are: Below $76,000.00: 99%, Below $70,000.00: 99%, Below $74,000.00: 99%, Below $78,000.00: 99%, Below $72,000.00: 99%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Bitcoin be below $60000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
