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If Matt Mahan is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win the governorship in California? are: Eric Swalwell: 61%, Tom Steyer: 10%, Matt Mahan: 8%, Steve Hilton: 8%, Chad Bianco: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will win the governorship in California? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.