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If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027? are: Before 2027: 16%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.