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If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? are: During Trump's term: 32%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.