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If the Republican party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? are: Republican Party: 51%, Democratic Party: 49%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.