Polymarket$2.32BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$350.67MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$18.48MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $109999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? are: Above $99,999.99: 43%, Above $109,999.99: 35%, Above $119,999.99: 28%, Above $129,999.99: 23%, Above $139,999.99: 14%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
