Updated Today
If Donald Trump leaves office before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Donald Trump leave office before 2028? are: Before January 20, 2029: 44%, Before 2028: 33%, Before 2027: 14%, Before August 1, 2026: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Donald Trump leave office before 2028? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.