More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Updated 1m ago
If there are more than 494,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Jul 1, 2026
Kalshi's 92% probability for more tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025 is well-grounded: through early July, tracking firms show 185,000-158,000 layoffs in 2026 already moving at a 33% faster daily pace (1,000+ per day) than 2025's 564 per day average. AI-driven restructuring accounts for over half of announced cuts, with major players like Oracle (21,000), Meta (8,000+), and Amazon (16,000) citing automation as primary drivers. Unless cuts completely halt, 2026 will substantially exceed 2025's roughly 206,000-246,000 layoffs by year-end.
As of July 13, 2026, the Kalshi odds for More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? are: Yes: 91%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
