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If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Apr 1, 2026? are: Before January 21, 2029: 39%, Before 2027: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Apr 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.