Prediction market odds on the next Starship flight
SpaceX's Starship program is the most ambitious rocket development effort in history, and prediction markets track each launch attempt with real-money contracts. Traders price the probability of successful launches, landing attempts, and timeline milestones — providing a crowdsourced forecast that complements official SpaceX communications.
Prediction markets offer contracts on Starship launch windows. Odds shift based on FAA approvals, hardware readiness, and weather conditions. Check the live markets below for current timeline probabilities.
Prediction markets have historically offered contracts on specific mission milestones including orbital insertion, booster catch, and payload deployment. The prices reflect trader consensus on SpaceX's technical readiness.
