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Home/Questions/Who Will Win the Premier League 2025-26?

Who Will Win the Premier League 2025-26?

Prediction market odds on the English Premier League title race

The English Premier League is the most-watched football league in the world — and one of the most heavily traded on prediction markets. With over $100M in combined trading volume, markets on Polymarket and Kalshi cover title winners, top-four finishes, relegation battles, and individual match outcomes. These odds shift in real time with every matchday result.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win the Premier League 2025-26?

Prediction market odds update after every matchday. Check the live markets below for the latest title race probabilities based on real-money trading across Polymarket and Kalshi.

How accurate are prediction markets for football?

Prediction markets tend to be well-calibrated for sports outcomes because they aggregate information from a large number of informed bettors. For season-long outcomes like the Premier League title, markets become more accurate as the season progresses and the table takes shape.

When does the Premier League season end?

The 2025-26 Premier League season runs from August 2025 to May 2026, with 38 matchdays. Prediction market odds are most volatile early in the season and converge as the title race clarifies.

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Active Markets
88
Total Volume
$145.21M
24h Volume
$6.33M
Platforms
2
English Premier League Winner

English Premier League Winner

May 27
Arsenal91%
Man City9%
Man United0%
Vol $142.24M24h $5.91M
PM
Man Utd Top 4 EPL 2025-26

Man Utd Top 4 EPL 2025-26

May 27
Yes85%
No16%
Vol $544.4K24h $566
PM
What will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?

What will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?

2d
Surcharge85%
Capital Requirement72%
Liquidity66%
Vol $347.1K24h $203.9K
KL
Tottenham Relegated 2025-26 EPL

Tottenham Relegated 2025-26 EPL

May 27
Yes26%
No74%
Vol $285.2K24h $4.4K
PM
Aston Villa Top 4 EPL 2025-26

Aston Villa Top 4 EPL 2025-26

May 27
Yes36%
No64%
Vol $262.9K24h $581
PM
English Premier League – 2nd Place

English Premier League – 2nd Place

May 27
Man City79%
Arsenal7%
Man United 5%
Vol $155.0K24h $583
PM
Bitcoin Replace SHA-256 Before 2027

Bitcoin Replace SHA-256 Before 2027

Dec 31
Yes7%
No93%
Vol $142.2K24h $47
PM
English Premier League – Last Place

English Premier League – Last Place

May 27
Wolves61%
Burnley34%
Nottm Forest1%
Vol $118.9K24h $8.9K
PM
Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Jan 1, 27
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (any length)83%
Housing for the 21st Century Act76%
DEFIANCE Act66%
Vol $104.2K24h $3.7K
KL
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC

2d
Manchester United FC46%
AFC Bournemouth30%
Draw (AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC)26%
Vol $91.0K24h $35.3K
PM
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

May 27
Yes37%
No64%
Vol $77.7K24h $96
PM
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

May 27
Yes47%
No53%
Vol $76.7K24h $625
PM
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC

3d
Liverpool FC44%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC31%
Draw (Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC)27%
Vol $73.4K24h $40.9K
PM
English Premier League - Top Goalscorer

English Premier League - Top Goalscorer

May 27
Erling Haaland88%
Viktor Gyokeres3%
Joao Pedro1%
Vol $69.8K24h $1.0K
PM
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

May 27
Yes15%
No85%
Vol $68.0K24h $61
PM
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Ended
Yes50%
No50%
Vol $64.0K24h $23.5K
PM
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

May 27
Yes3%
No97%
Vol $63.2K24h $501
PM
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC

4d
Tottenham Hotspur FC42%
Nottingham Forest FC31%
Draw (Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC)28%
Vol $59.1K24h $46.5K
PM
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

May 27
Yes96%
No4%
Vol $50.2K24h $339
PM
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

May 27
Yes32%
No68%
Vol $44.9K24h $144
PM
2026 IPL Champion

2026 IPL Champion

May 31
Mumbai Indians22%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru17%
Chennai Super Kings13%
Vol $33.7K24h $2.7K
PM
Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Nov 3
Matt Pinnell13%
Gentner Drummond4%
Kevin Stitt4%
Vol $31.3K24h $990
PM
Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?

Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?

May 24
Yes3%
No97%
Vol $26.0K24h $102
PM
Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

Jun 30
Yes3%
No97%
Vol $18.1K24h $161
PM
Dota 2: Team Essence vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Dota 2: Team Essence vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

1d
Yes17%
No83%
Vol $17.6K24h $17.6K
PM
English Premier League – 3rd Place

English Premier League – 3rd Place

May 27
Man United 63%
Chelsea17%
Arsenal3%
Vol $17.1K24h $1.0K
PM
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?

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Apr 1, 27
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter86%
Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter63%
Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter33%
Vol $16.6K24h $144
KL
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC

3d
Chelsea FC46%
Everton FC28%
Draw (Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC)28%
Vol $14.1K24h $4.3K
PM
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC

3d
Manchester City FC69%
Draw (Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC)16%
Crystal Palace FC15%
Vol $13.9K24h $4.5K
PM
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

May 27
Yes32%
No68%
Vol $13.7K24h $806
PM
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC

Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC

4d
Aston Villa FC50%
Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC)27%
West Ham United FC25%
Vol $8.6K24h $560
PM
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC

Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC

3d
Fulham FC62%
Draw (Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC)24%
Burnley FC16%
Vol $8.3K24h $1.6K
PM
Will GTE deploy on MegaETH mainnet before Jan 1, 2027?

Will GTE deploy on MegaETH mainnet before Jan 1, 2027?

Jan 1, 27
Yes21%
No79%
Vol $7.5K24h $63
KL
Will Gerwyn Price win the Premier League Darts?

Will Gerwyn Price win the Premier League Darts?

Jun 12
Luke Littler45%
Michael van Gerwen18%
Luke Humphries14%
Vol $5.8K24h $23
KL
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC

Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC

4d
Newcastle United FC59%
Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC)24%
Sunderland AFC18%
Vol $5.4K24h $1.6K
PM
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?

Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?

Jun 30
Yes97%
No3%
Vol $4.3K24h $669
PM
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

2d
Yes40%
No60%
Vol $4.1K24h $295
PM
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)

Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)

4d
Yes20%
No80%
Vol $3.0K24h $1.8K
PM
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

2d
Yes62%
No38%
Vol $2.4K24h $2.2K
PM
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC

3d
Leeds United FC39%
Brentford FC34%
Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC)28%
Vol $2.1K24h $593
PM
Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)

Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)

3d
Yes18%
No83%
Vol $1.8K24h $1.3K
PM
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

3d
Yes53%
No48%
Vol $1.7K24h $83
PM
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)

Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)

2d
Yes11%
No89%
Vol $1.6K24h $731
PM
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

2d
Yes25%
No76%
Vol $1.5K24h $737
PM
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

2d
Yes84%
No17%
Vol $1.2K24h $1.1K
PM
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC - Exact Score

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC - Exact Score

3d
Exact Score: 0-18%
Exact Score: 3-37%
Vol $1.1K24h $1.1K
PM
Will Brentford finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Will Brentford finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

May 27
Yes10%
No90%
Vol $98624h $46
PM
T20 International Diamond Premier League: India (Idpl) vs Belgium (Idpl)

T20 International Diamond Premier League: India (Idpl) vs Belgium (Idpl)

7d
Yes92%
No8%
Vol $95424h $933
PM
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5

Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5

3d
Yes77%
No24%
Vol $93824h $4
PM
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

2d
Yes65%
No36%
Vol $84524h $728
PM
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

3d
Yes57%
No43%
Vol $82024h $221
PM
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score

4d
Yes57%
No43%
Vol $76724h $11
PM
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

3d
Yes20%
No80%
Vol $74524h $745
PM
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

2d
Yes15%
No86%
Vol $73724h $737
PM
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)

Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)

3d
Yes11%
No89%
Vol $69524h $540
PM
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

3d
Yes52%
No49%
Vol $65024h $114
PM
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

3d
Yes83%
No17%
Vol $61524h $615
PM
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?

Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?

Jan 1, 28
ROC recycle removal37%
Index change23%
Cancellation17%
Vol $60124h $601
KL
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC - Exact Score

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC - Exact Score

3d
Yes14%
No87%
Vol $53324h $528
PM
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)

Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)

4d
Yes14%
No86%
Vol $51324h $513
PM
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

3d
Yes61%
No39%
Vol $44324h $349
PM
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5

3d
Yes78%
No22%
Vol $37324h $30
PM
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)

Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)

3d
Yes6%
No95%
Vol $37124h $345
PM
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

3d
Yes36%
No64%
Vol $36724h $22
PM
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5

3d
Yes16%
No84%
Vol $34724h $340
PM
English Premier League - Most Clean Sheets

English Premier League - Most Clean Sheets

May 24
Gianluigi Donnarumma14%
Robert Sánchez1%
Nick Pope0%
Vol $28324h $2
PM
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

4d
Yes52%
No49%
Vol $16524h $165
PM
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

3d
Yes54%
No47%
Vol $13524h $9
PM
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score

Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score

3d
Yes50%
No50%
Vol $10424h $84
PM
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

3d
Yes56%
No44%
Vol $8924h $22
PM
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

4d
Yes55%
No45%
Vol $2224h $9
PM
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

4d
Yes51%
No49%
Vol $1024h $10
PM
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score

Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score

4d
Yes52%
No48%
Vol $924h $9
PM
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score

Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score

4d
Yes57%
No43%
Vol $824h $8
PM
Will Fulham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Will Fulham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

May 27
Yes5%
No95%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Dota 2: GLYPH vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

1d
Yes83%
No17%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5

Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5

3d
Yes30%
No70%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)

Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)

3d
Yes37%
No63%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

3d
Yes31%
No69%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score

3d
Yes56%
No44%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

3d
Yes76%
No24%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5

3d
Yes28%
No72%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5

Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5

4d
Yes75%
No26%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5

Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5

4d
Yes29%
No71%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

4d
Yes32%
No68%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)

Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)

4d
Yes27%
No74%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

4d
Yes33%
No67%
Vol $024h $0
PM
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

4d
Yes29%
No71%
Vol $024h $0
PM