What are the current odds for "Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $142.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.1% or No shares at 92.0%. The market has $15.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketcrypto

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Updated Today

Bitcoin's underlying cryptographic protocol is fundamental to its security architecture; replacing SHA-256 would require consensus from the entire network. Markets assign only 7% odds to this technical overhaul occurring before 2027, reflecting the extreme coordination required.

Current Probability

8.1%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$12.42 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1