What are the current odds for "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give Up a 100.0% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.27M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Up shares at 100.0% or Down shares at 0.0%. The market has $379.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Today (Mar 16, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketcrypto

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?

Updated Today

Bitcoin is favored to close higher on March 16, 2026, with markets currently giving it a 79% probability of an up day. This reflects bullish near-term sentiment, though crypto's volatility keeps significant uncertainty priced into the binary outcome.

Current Probability

100.0%

Trade on Polymarket

UpDown

If Up wins

$1.00 return per $1

If Down wins

$2000.00 return per $1