PMCPredictMarketCap
CompareArbitrageWhalesForecastAnalysisBlog

Markets

  • Trending
  • Politics
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Economics
  • Entertainment
  • Oil
  • Metals
  • Weather
  • AI
  • 2028 Election
  • Resolved & Upsets
  • All Categories

Tools

  • Compare Markets
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Whale Tracker

Analysis

  • All Dashboards
  • Crypto Dashboard
  • Oil Dashboard
  • Metals Dashboard
  • Weather Dashboard
  • AI Dashboard

Read

  • Forecast
  • Blog
  • Questions

About

  • About
  • Methodology
  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
  • Limitless
  • Predict.fun

Stay in the loop

Prediction market analysis, delivered occasionally.

AboutMethodologyContactPrivacy PolicyTerms & Disclaimer
PredictMarketCapPredictMarketCap
Data from Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict.fun & Hyperliquid. Some links on this site are referral or affiliate links — we may earn a commission when you sign up or trade, at no cost to you.
Home/Questions/How Many Hurricanes Will Hit the US in 2026?

How Many Hurricanes Will Hit the US in 2026?

Atlantic hurricane season prediction market odds

Live odds across Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless · refreshes every 15 minutes

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June through November, and prediction markets on Kalshi offer contracts on storm counts, category levels, and US landfalls. These markets provide a probability-weighted forecast that complements NOAA's official seasonal outlook, updated in real time as meteorological conditions evolve.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many hurricanes are predicted for 2026?

Prediction markets offer over/under contracts on the total number of named storms and hurricanes. The market consensus is derived from traders' real-money bets. Check the live markets below for current forecasts.

When does hurricane season start?

The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30. Prediction market contracts typically open in the spring and see increasing volume as the season approaches.

Related Questions

Will 2026 Be the Hottest Year on Record?
Prediction market odds on global temperature records

More Questions

Will There Be a Recession in 2026?
Live prediction market odds on a US recession
When Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates?
Real-money odds on Federal Reserve rate decisions
Will the Government Shut Down?
Prediction market odds on a US government shutdown
Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2026?
Prediction market odds on mortgage rate movements
Will the Stock Market Crash in 2026?
Real-money odds on a major market downturn
Who Will Win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Live prediction market odds for the next US president
Who Will Win the 2026 Midterm Elections?
Prediction market odds on House & Senate control
Will the US Go to War with Iran?
Real-money odds on US-Iran military conflict and ceasefire
When Will the Ukraine War End?
Ceasefire odds and conflict predictions from real-money markets
Will Bitcoin Hit $150K in 2026?
Prediction market odds on Bitcoin price milestones
Will Ethereum Hit $5,000 in 2026?
Real-money odds on ETH price targets
Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup?
Prediction market odds for the FIFA World Cup
Who Will Win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Live prediction market odds on the NBA championship
Who Will Win Super Bowl 2027?
Prediction market odds on the NFL championship
When Will GTA VI Be Released?
Prediction market odds on the Grand Theft Auto VI launch
Will AI Replace My Job?
Prediction market odds on AI milestones and workforce impact
Who Will Win the 2026 Oscars?
Prediction market odds for the Academy Awards
Who Will Win March Madness 2026?
NCAA tournament championship odds from prediction markets
Who Will Win the Champions League 2026?
UEFA Champions League prediction market odds
Will 2026 Be the Hottest Year on Record?
Prediction market odds on global temperature records
What Will US Inflation Be in 2026?
CPI prediction market odds and inflation forecasts
When Will There Be a Ceasefire in Gaza?
Prediction market odds on Gaza ceasefire timelines
Will China Invade Taiwan?
Prediction market odds on a China-Taiwan military conflict
When Will Netanyahu Leave Office?
Prediction market odds on Israeli leadership change
When Will OpenAI IPO?
Prediction market odds on the OpenAI public offering
When Will SpaceX Launch Starship Again?
Prediction market odds on the next Starship flight
Who Will Win the 2026 Grammys?
Grammy Awards prediction market odds
Who Will Win the Golden Globes?
Golden Globe Awards prediction market odds
Who Will Win the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Live prediction market odds on the Democratic primary
Who Will Win the 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Live prediction market odds on the Republican primary
Who Will Win the Premier League 2025-26?
Prediction market odds on the English Premier League title race
Will the Iranian Regime Fall?
Prediction market odds on regime change in Iran
Will the US Acquire Greenland?
Prediction market odds on US-Greenland territorial acquisition
Will Oil Prices Hit $100 a Barrel?
Prediction market odds on crude oil price thresholds
Will the US Confirm That Aliens Exist?
Prediction market odds on UFO/UAP disclosure
Who Will Lead Venezuela?
Prediction market odds on Venezuelan leadership
Who Will Win the 2026 Stanley Cup?
Prediction market odds on the NHL championship
Who Will Win NBA MVP 2025-26?
Prediction market odds on the NBA Most Valuable Player
Who Will Win the 2026 Masters?
Prediction market odds on the Masters Tournament at Augusta
Who Will Win La Liga 2025-26?
Prediction market odds on the Spanish football league title
Will There Be a Trade War in 2026?
Prediction market odds on tariffs and trade policy
Will Trump Be Removed from Office?
Prediction market odds on presidential removal or departure
Will There Be a Measles Outbreak in 2026?
Prediction market odds on US measles cases
Will Iran Strike Israel?
Prediction market odds on Iranian retaliation against Israel
Will Solana Hit $500 in 2026?
Prediction market odds on SOL price milestones
Will XRP Hit $5 in 2026?
Prediction market odds on XRP price targets
Will Dogecoin Hit $1?
Prediction market odds on DOGE reaching the $1 milestone
Which Crypto ETFs Will Be Approved Next?
Prediction market odds on SEC crypto ETF approvals
Will Bitcoin Stay Above $100K?
Prediction market odds on Bitcoin holding six figures
Who Will Be the Next Governor of California?
Prediction market odds on the California gubernatorial race
Will a Supreme Court Justice Retire?
Prediction market odds on SCOTUS vacancies
Who Will Be the Next Speaker of the House?
Prediction market odds on House leadership
Will the US Hit the Debt Ceiling?
Prediction market odds on the debt limit crisis
Will TikTok Be Banned in the US?
Prediction market odds on the TikTok ban and ByteDance divestiture
What Will Elon Musk Do Next?
Prediction market odds on Elon Musk decisions and behavior
Will North Korea Test a Nuclear Weapon?
Prediction market odds on North Korean nuclear tests
Will India and Pakistan Go to War?
Prediction market odds on South Asian military conflict
Will Gold Hit $4,000 an Ounce?
Prediction market odds on gold price milestones
Will Silver Hit $50 an Ounce?
Prediction market odds on silver price targets
Will Gas Prices Hit $5 a Gallon?
Prediction market odds on US gasoline prices
What Will Unemployment Be in 2026?
Prediction market odds on the US unemployment rate
Where Will the S&P 500 End 2026?
Prediction market odds on the S&P 500 year-end level
Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates in 2026?
Prediction market odds on a surprise rate hike
What Will US GDP Growth Be in 2026?
Prediction market odds on economic growth
Who Will Win the 2026 World Series?
Prediction market odds on the MLB championship
Who Will Win NFL MVP 2026?
Prediction market odds on the NFL Most Valuable Player
Who Will Win the 2026 F1 Championship?
Prediction market odds on the Formula 1 drivers championship
Who Will Win Wimbledon 2026?
Prediction market odds on the Wimbledon tennis championships
Who Will Win the Next UFC Title Fight?
Prediction market odds on UFC championship bouts
Who Will Win Serie A 2025-26?
Prediction market odds on the Italian football league
Who Will Win the Bundesliga 2025-26?
Prediction market odds on the German football league
Who Will Win Ligue 1 2025-26?
Prediction market odds on the French football league
Who Will Win MLS Cup 2026?
Prediction market odds on Major League Soccer
Who Will Win Eurovision 2026?
Prediction market odds on the Eurovision Song Contest
Who Will Be the Next James Bond?
Prediction market odds on the next 007 actor
Will Rihanna Release a New Album?
Prediction market odds on Rihanna's next record
Will Bird Flu Become a Pandemic?
Prediction market odds on H5N1 human transmission
Will There Be a Major Earthquake in 2026?
Prediction market odds on seismic events
How Bad Will Wildfire Season Be in 2026?
Prediction market odds on wildfire severity
When Will AGI Be Achieved?
Prediction market odds on artificial general intelligence
When Will GPT-5 Be Released?
Prediction market odds on OpenAI's next model
Which AI Company Will Have the Best Model?
Prediction market odds on AI model leadership
Where Will Tesla Stock Be in 2026?
Prediction market odds on Tesla share price
When Will Apple Launch Its AI Features?
Prediction market odds on Apple Intelligence milestones
When Will Self-Driving Cars Be Legal Everywhere?
Prediction market odds on autonomous vehicle regulation
Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Platform Has Better Odds?
Compare prediction market prices across platforms
How Do Prediction Markets Work?
A beginner's guide to trading on prediction markets
Will 2026 Break Temperature Records?
Prediction market odds on record-breaking heat
Who Will Be the Next Governor of Texas?
Prediction market odds on the Texas gubernatorial race
What Will Happen in UK Politics?
Prediction market odds on British political outcomes
What Will Happen in French Politics?
Prediction market odds on French political outcomes
Who Will Be the Next Pope?
Prediction market odds on the papal conclave
Will Bitcoin Hit $200K in 2026?
Prediction market odds on Bitcoin reaching $200,000
Will Stablecoin Legislation Pass?
Prediction market odds on US stablecoin regulation
Who Will Win the 2026 Emmys?
Prediction market odds on the Emmy Awards
What Will Be the Biggest Movie of 2026?
Prediction market odds on box office performance
Will a Nuclear Weapon Be Used?
Prediction market odds on nuclear weapon detonation
Where Is Apple Stock Heading?
Prediction market odds on AAPL price targets
Where Is Nvidia Stock Heading?
Prediction market odds on NVDA price targets
Where Is Amazon Stock Heading?
Prediction market odds on AMZN price targets
Where Is Meta Stock Heading?
Prediction market odds on META price targets
Where Are Interest Rates Going?
Prediction market odds on Fed interest rate decisions
Will the Housing Market Crash?
Prediction market odds on home prices and housing trends
Where Is the US Dollar Heading?
Prediction market odds on USD strength and currency markets
Will the US Leave NATO?
Prediction market odds on NATO membership and alliance changes
Will Russia Sanctions Be Lifted?
Prediction market odds on Russia sanctions and peace negotiations
What's Next for South Korea Politics?
Prediction market odds on South Korean elections and governance
What's Next for Brazil Politics?
Prediction market odds on Brazilian elections and policy
Who Will Win the Canadian Election?
Prediction market odds on Canadian federal elections
Who Will Lead Germany?
Prediction market odds on German federal elections
What Are the Odds of War?
Prediction market odds on global conflicts and military escalation
What Are the Odds of World War 3?
Prediction market odds on global conflict escalation
Where Are Natural Gas Prices Heading?
Prediction market odds on natural gas price movements
Where Are Copper Prices Heading?
Prediction market odds on copper price movements
Will China's Economy Crash?
Prediction market odds on China economic outlook
Will Student Loans Be Forgiven?
Prediction market odds on student loan policy
What's Next for US Immigration Policy?
Prediction market odds on immigration and border policy
What's Next for Trump Legal Cases?
Prediction market odds on Trump trials and legal outcomes
What Do Prediction Markets Say About Climate Change?
Real-money odds on temperature records and climate milestones
Will There Be Another Pandemic?
Prediction market odds on disease outbreaks and pandemic risk
When Will SpaceX Reach Mars?
Prediction market odds on Mars missions and timelines
Will Tether (USDT) Lose Its Peg?
Prediction market odds on Tether stability and stablecoin risk
Where Is Cardano (ADA) Heading?
Prediction market odds on Cardano price movements
What's Next for Crypto Regulation?
Prediction market odds on crypto policy and SEC decisions
When Will Robotaxis Be Everywhere?
Prediction market odds on autonomous ride-hailing
What's Next for X (Twitter)?
Prediction market odds on X platform changes and valuation
Where Is Disney Stock Heading?
Prediction market odds on DIS price and streaming
What Will DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) Achieve?
Prediction market odds on government spending cuts
Who Will Win the 2027 Women's World Cup?
Prediction market odds on the FIFA Women's World Cup
Who Will Win the WNBA Championship?
Prediction market odds on WNBA title and MVP
Who Will Win the College Football Playoff?
Prediction market odds on CFP national championship
Where Will Top Players Transfer?
Prediction market odds on football transfer destinations
Who Will Win the 2026 Tony Awards?
Prediction market odds on Broadway's biggest night
Who Will Win the Nobel Prize?
Prediction market odds on Nobel Prize laureates
Will AI Be Regulated?
Prediction market odds on AI legislation and policy
When Will Quantum Computing Go Mainstream?
Prediction market odds on quantum computing milestones
What's Next for Electric Vehicles?
Prediction market odds on EV adoption and sales
Will the Minimum Wage Increase?
Prediction market odds on federal minimum wage changes
Will Social Security Run Out?
Prediction market odds on Social Security solvency
Will Marijuana Be Legalized Federally?
Prediction market odds on cannabis legalization and rescheduling
How Will the Supreme Court Rule?
Prediction market odds on major SCOTUS decisions
Who Will Win the NASCAR Championship?
Prediction market odds on NASCAR Cup Series
Who Will Win the Most Medals at the 2028 Olympics?
Prediction market odds on the LA 2028 Olympic Games
When Will Space Tourism Go Mainstream?
Prediction market odds on commercial space travel milestones
What's Next for Neuralink?
Prediction market odds on brain-computer interface milestones
What's Next in Drake vs Kendrick?
Prediction market odds on the biggest rap rivalry
What's Next for Taylor Swift?
Prediction market odds on Taylor Swift milestones
Where Will Sports Betting Be Legal Next?
Prediction market odds on sports betting expansion
Will We Discover Alien Life?
Prediction market odds on extraterrestrial life discovery
Will Lula Win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Live prediction market odds on Brazil's 2026 presidential race
Will the US Invade Cuba in 2026?
Prediction market odds on US-Cuba military action and diplomacy
What Will Happen Before GTA VI Releases?
Prediction markets using GTA VI as a deadline for world events
Will Russia Capture More Ukrainian Territory in 2026?
Live odds on Russian advances, city captures, and frontline movement
Which Company Has the #1 AI Model This Month?
Live monthly odds on the AI leadership race — Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok
Live answer·Updated 1h ago

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

35.0%Dolly-3.0pp 24hView market
Hurricane Bertha category?
1.0%Category 1 or above
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
81.5%No
Active Markets
21
Total Volume
$1.83M
24h Volume
$185.4K
Platforms
2

Hurricane Bertha Category 2026

Dec 1
Category 1 or above1%
Category 2 or above1%
Category 3 or above1%
Vol $663.8K24h $171.7K
KL

Atlantic First Hurricane Named Wilfred
Dec 1
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Vol $356.4K24h $1.2K
KL
Category 4 Hurricane US Landfall 2026

Category 4 Hurricane US Landfall 2026

Dec 31
Yes
No
Vol $339.2K24h $3.1K
PM
Category 5 Hurricane US Landfall 2026

Category 5 Hurricane US Landfall 2026

Dec 31
Yes
No
Vol $137.1K24h $723
PM

Hurricane Elida Category 5 Status

Dec 1
Category 1 or above1%
Category 2 or above1%
Category 3 or above1%
Vol $117.3K24h $0
KL

8+ Major Atlantic Hurricanes 2026

Dec 2
Above 0
Above 1
Above 2
Vol $76.0K24h $517
KL

Atlantic Hurricanes 2026 Count

Dec 2
Above 4
Above 5
Above 6
Vol $45.3K24h $100
KL

Atlantic Hurricanes Category 1 Plus 2026

Dec 2
Above 10
Above 12
Above 14
Vol $37.9K24h $11
KL
Hurricane Landfall Hawaii 2026

Hurricane Landfall Hawaii 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027
No
Vol $15.5K24h $310
KL
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027
Yes
No
Vol $11.5K24h $1.9K
PM

Hurricane Wilfred Atlantic 2026

Dec 1
Hanna
Gonzalo
Josephine
Vol $11.3K24h $7
KL

Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Dec 1
4-6
No
Vol $5.8K24h $4.1K
PM

2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season First Name

Dec 1
Dolly
Marco
Edouard
Vol $3.2K24h $1.4K
PM

Eastern Pacific Major Hurricanes Over 8

Dec 1
Above 4
Above 5
Above 6
Vol $1.4K24h $0
KL

Eastern Pacific Hurricanes 2026 Count

Dec 1
Above 6
Above 9
Above 10
Vol $1.3K24h $0
KL
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?

Sep 1
Yes
No
Vol $99624h $0
PM

Central Pacific Major Hurricanes Over 3 2026

Dec 1
Above 1
Above 2
Above 3
Vol $90324h $0
KL

When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?

Dec 1
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol $29024h $57
KL

Atlantic Hurricane Season 2026 Total Count

Dec 31
1-3
7+
0
Vol $28924h $88
PM

Atlantic Hurricane Forms 2026

Sep 1
August 27 to August 31, 2026
August 13 to August 16, 2026
Vol $18224h $68
PM

Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by Nov 30?

Nov 30
Texas
No
Vol $8624h $86
PM