Live prediction market odds on the Democratic primary
The 2028 Democratic presidential primary is already one of the most heavily traded markets in prediction market history, with hundreds of millions in total volume. Traders are placing bets on dozens of potential candidates — from current officeholders to political newcomers. These odds reflect real-money conviction and update in real time as endorsements, polls, and political developments unfold.
Prediction market odds shift constantly based on endorsements, polling, fundraising, and media coverage. Check the live markets below for the latest candidate probabilities. These prices represent what traders are willing to bet real money on.
The 2028 Democratic primary calendar has not yet been finalized. Primary elections and caucuses typically begin in early 2028, with the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary traditionally going first. Prediction markets open well in advance of these events.
Prediction markets have a strong track record for political forecasting, often outperforming polls and pundit predictions. They are particularly useful for primaries because they can integrate diverse information sources — polls, endorsements, fundraising, debate performances — into a single probability estimate.
