Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Micah Lasher
Before NY-12 Democratic nominee? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Micah Lasher: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
