Angie Nixon
Alexander Vindman
Josh Weil
Joey Atkins
Jared MoskowitzUpdated 1 month ago
Winner: Angie Nixonon Aug 28, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-18
Angie Nixon, a democratic socialist state representative, pulled off a major upset in Florida's Democratic Senate primary on August 18, defeating Alex Vindman despite being priced at just 7% the day before while Vindman sat at 93%. Nixon won with 56% of the vote against Vindman, who had outraised her 16-to-1 ($16.3 million versus $975,000) and was widely seen as a heavy favorite, setting up a November general election against Republican Sen. Ashley Moody.
Before Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Angie Nixon: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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