Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Updated 1 month ago
Winner: Amanda Janooon Aug 12, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-11
Amanda Janoo, an economist and political newcomer, won Vermont's Democratic primary for governor on August 11, 2026, with 49% of the vote versus 46% for runner-up Aly Richards. Her narrow victory vindicated markets that had priced her at 63% the day before, overcoming Richards' backing from a well-funded PAC with an aggressive late-stage digital ad buy. Janoo will face Republican incumbent Governor Phil Scott in November's general election.
Before Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Amanda Janoo: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
5pp3pp5pp4pp5pp
