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If Rick McCartney wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 AZ-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Andrei Cherny be the Democratic nominee for AZ-01? are: Amish Shah: 60%, Jonathan Treble: 33%, Marlene Galán-Woods: 15%, Mark Robert Gordon: 5%, Andrei Cherny: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Andrei Cherny be the Democratic nominee for AZ-01? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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