David Crowley
Sara Rodriguez
Kelda Roys
Tom Nelson
Francesca HongWinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-11
Francesca Hong, the democratic socialist state representative from Madison, won the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, confirming what markets had priced at 96% the day before. Hong maintained a commanding polling lead throughout the race despite last-minute efforts by establishment Democrats led by Gov. Tony Evers to unite behind moderate challenger David Crowley. Hong will face Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany in the November general election.
Before Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: David Crowley: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Updated 1 month ago
Winner: David Crowleyon Aug 12, 2026
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