Donavan McKinney
Shri ThanedarMI-13 Democratic nominee?
Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Donavan McKinney
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-05
Donavan McKinney won Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, defeating incumbent two-term Congressman Shri Thanedar 51.9% to 48.1%. McKinney, a state representative and progressive backed by Bernie Sanders and Rashida Tlaib, will be the Democratic nominee in the heavily Democratic district, likely restoring Black representation to the seat that Thanedar's 2022 victory had interrupted. Markets had priced McKinney at 88% the day before, confirming the favorite.
Before MI-13 Democratic nominee? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Donavan McKinney: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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