Updated Today
If Theo Chino-Tavarez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic nominee for NY-13? are: Adriano Espaillat: 70%, Darializa Avila Chevalier: 35%, Theo Chino-Tavarez: 4%, Jaliel Amador: 4%, Matt Miller: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic nominee for NY-13? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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