Updated Today
If Rashida Tlaib wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Wil Matt Sahr be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan? are: Mallory McMorrow: 57%, Abdul El-Sayed: 23%, Haley Stevens: 20%, Rashida Tlaib: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Wil Matt Sahr be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.