Updated Ended
If Ryan Busse wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Matt Rains be the Democratic nominee for MT-01? are: Ryan Busse: 53%, Sam Forstag: 45%, Matt Rains: 19%, Russell Cleveland: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Matt Rains be the Democratic nominee for MT-01? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.