What are the current odds for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $96.9K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.5% or No shares at 84.5%. The market has $5.4K in liquidity.

Updated Today

A Category 5 hurricane making U.S. landfall before 2027 draws only 15% odds from prediction markets despite the Atlantic hurricane season's unpredictability. Scientists warn that warming oceans increase major hurricane risk, making this a significant climate and disaster-preparedness question.

Current Probability

15.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.45 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1