What are the current odds for "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 5.7% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $517.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 5.7% or No shares at 94.3%. The market has $30.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketscience

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Updated Today

Catastrophic earthquakes measuring magnitude 10.0 or higher are extraordinarily rare, and markets price that probability at just 6% through the end of 2026. The Richter scale becomes less precise at extreme magnitudes, but a 10.0 would represent unprecedented global devastation.

Current Probability

5.7%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$17.70 return per $1

If No wins

$1.06 return per $1