What are the current odds for "Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 39.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $275.8K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 39.5% or No shares at 60.5%. The market has $6.5K in liquidity.

Updated Today

Hurricane preparedness has real consequences for coastal communities, and markets currently assess a 39% probability that at least one Category 4 hurricane will make US landfall before 2027. Historical patterns and climate trends shape these odds as residents and insurers plan for the upcoming season.

Current Probability

39.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.53 return per $1

If No wins

$1.65 return per $1