Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Netherlandson Jun 27, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-25
The Netherlands won Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, securing the group with a dominant 3-1 victory over Tunisia on June 25. Japan finished second after drawing 1-1 with Sweden, with both teams advancing to the knockout round alongside the Netherlands.
Before World Cup Group F Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Netherlands: 100%, Japan: 19%, Sweden: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.