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If a party founded by Elon Musk contests the 2028 U.S. presidential election by having at least one candidate officially on the ballot before Sep 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will a party founded by Elon Musk contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election? are: a party founded by Elon Musk: 22%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will a party founded by Elon Musk contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
