Updated Today
If the winner of ||Election|| scheduled to be held in ||Year|| (at the latest) is ||Candidate/Option||, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Fernando Olivera win the the next Peruvian presidential election? are: Rafael López Aliaga: 40%, Alfonso López Chau: 18%, Keiko Fujimori: 16%, Jorge Nieto: 8%, Roberto Sánchez Palomino: 6%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Fernando Olivera win the the next Peruvian presidential election? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.