Updated Ended
If the winner of the first round of the next Turkish presidential election in 2028 is Mansur Yavaş, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? are: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 70%, Ekrem İmamoğlu: 23%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.