Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
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If Sergio Fajardo wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are: Iván Cepeda Castro: 67%, Paloma Valencia: 17%, Sergio Fajardo: 4%, Abelardo de la Espriella: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.