What are the current odds for "Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 88.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $5.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 88.0% or No shares at 12.0%. The market has $6.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Aug 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

Updated 19 hr ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kristi Noem and/or her spouse announce their intention to divorce by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 88.0% on Polymarket, with $5,552 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

88.0%+0.83%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.14 return per $1

If No wins

$8.33 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kristi Noem and/or her spouse announce their intention to divorce by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Kristi Noem and/or her spouse, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Listed on Polymarket Mar 31, 2026 · Resolves Aug 31, 2026