What are the current odds for "Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $19.10M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 100.0%. The market has $1.37M in liquidity.

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Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Updated Ended

This real-time event market shows 0% probability for an Iranian strike on Israel on March 6, though geopolitical tensions remain elevated. Markets on imminent military actions reflect current diplomatic status and recent escalation patterns.

Current Probability

0.1%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2000.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1