What are the current odds for "Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 100.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $23.08M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 100.0% or No shares at 0.0%. The market has $3.71M in liquidity.

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Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Updated Ended

Markets have priced an Iranian strike on Israel at 100% probability, suggesting traders view such action as nearly certain in the immediate term based on recent regional military activity and rhetoric. This reflects elevated geopolitical tensions and a pattern of tit-for-tat strikes between the two countries.

Current Probability

100.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$2000.00 return per $1