What are the current odds for "Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 100.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $4.22M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 100.0% or No shares at 0.0%. The market has $2.03M in liquidity.

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Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Updated Ended

Regional tensions remain at critical levels as markets track the likelihood of Iranian military action. This contract reflects ongoing Middle East escalation concerns, with current odds at 100% for a strike on this date, reflecting heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

Current Probability

100.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$2000.00 return per $1

Price History