Updated Today
Will Mark Rutte say "Arctic" during his speech on April 9? is currently trading at 99.9% on Polymarket, with $1,385 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.00 return per $1
If No wins
$1000.00 return per $1
Price Changes
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
PM·$267.54M volUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
PM·$121.89M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
PM·$24.43M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
PM·$17.55M volUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
PM·$44.38M volUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
PM·$7.38M volSpread: Warriors (-14.5)
PM·$2.04M volUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
PM·$11.68M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?
PM·$6.38M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 3?
PM·$4.22M vol
KalshiWhat will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing on April 7th?
Outcome: Rescue / Rescued
KalshiWhat will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing originally scheduled for April 8th?
Outcome: Hormuz
KalshiWhat will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing originally scheduled for April 8th?
Outcome: Ayatollah / Khamenei
KalshiWhat will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing originally scheduled for April 8th?
Outcome: Civilian / School
KalshiWhat will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing on April 7th?
Outcome: Event does not qualify
KalshiWhat will Pete Hegseth say during Pentagon Press Briefing originally scheduled for April 8th?
Outcome: Russia
