Updated Today
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? is currently trading at 12.0% on Polymarket, with $11,840 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$8.33 return per $1
If No wins
$1.14 return per $1
Price Changes
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
PM·$254.33M volUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
PM·$78.57M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
PM·$24.43M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
PM·$17.55M volUS forces enter Iran by December 31?
PM·$20.88M volUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
PM·$44.38M volUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
PM·$7.38M volSpread: Warriors (-14.5)
PM·$2.04M volWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
PM·$25.03M volWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PM·$6.58M vol
KalshiNew Iran Nuclear Deal in 2026
Outcome: Before May
KalshiUS Iran Nuclear Deal 2027
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiUS Iran Nuclear Deal by August 2026
Outcome: Before August
KalshiNew Iran Nuclear Deal in 2026
Outcome: Before June
