What are the current odds for "Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 55.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 55.0% or No shares at 45.0%. The market has $174 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?

Updated 3 months ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. Currently 55.0% on Polymarket, with $1,400 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

55.0%+0.12%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.82 return per $1

If No wins

$2.22 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

View full rules

Listed on Polymarket Apr 3, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026