What are the current odds for "U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 5.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.27M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 5.5% or No shares at 94.5%. The market has $24.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Updated Today

U.S.-Mexico security cooperation faces pressure over cartel violence, but markets give only 9% odds of a formal anti-cartel ground operation launching by month's end—indicating skepticism that political constraints will yield to military intervention despite border tensions.

Current Probability

5.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$18.18 return per $1

If No wins

$1.06 return per $1