
Updated Today
U.S.-Mexico security cooperation faces pressure over cartel violence, but markets give only 9% odds of a formal anti-cartel ground operation launching by month's end—indicating skepticism that political constraints will yield to military intervention despite border tensions.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$18.18 return per $1
If No wins
$1.06 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?