What are the current odds for "Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 35.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $54.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 35.5% or No shares at 64.5%. The market has $16.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? is currently trading at 35.5% on Polymarket, with $54,853 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

35.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.82 return per $1

If No wins

$1.55 return per $1