What are the current odds for "Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 45.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $799 in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?

Q: Where can I trade on "Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 45.5% or No shares at 54.5%. The market has $3.9K in liquidity.

Updated Today

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? is currently trading at 45.5% on Polymarket, with $799 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

45.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.20 return per $1

If No wins

$1.83 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

Outcome: Lebanon

21.0%

$21.1K vol

++0.02% 24h

Related Markets

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

40.5%

$5.1K vol

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$3.9K

24h Volume$799

Total Volume$799

Liquidity$3.9K

Ends2 months

End DateJun 30, 2026

Price Changes

1 hour+0.01%

Trade Now

More Trending Markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

100.0%·

PM·$267.54M vol

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

100.0%·

PM·$172.21M vol

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

0.1%·

PM·$19.10M vol

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

100.0%·

PM·$24.43M vol

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

100.0%·

PM·$23.08M vol

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

100.0%·

PM·$17.55M vol

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

0.1%·

PM·$44.38M vol

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

76ers vs. Pacers

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

0.1%·

PM·$11.68M vol

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Spread: Hawks (-6.5)