What are the current odds for "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 13.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 13.5% or No shares at 86.5%. The market has $9.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Updated 4 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Currently 13.5% on Polymarket, with $1,556 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

13.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.16 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Mar 30, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026